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The most recent version of this article was published on 1 April 2008

Br J Sports Med. Published Online First: 29 November 2007. doi:10.1136/bjsm.2007.039974
Copyright © 2007 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Association of Sport and Exercise Medicine.

Review Article

Walking and Primary Prevention: A Meta-analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies

Mark Hamer 1* and Yoichi Chida 1

1 University College London, United Kingdom

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: m.hamer{at}ucl.ac.uk.

Accepted 20 November 2007


Abstract

Objective: To quantify the association between walking and risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all cause mortality in healthy men and women. Data sources: We searched Medline, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Web of Science databases through May 2007. Study selection Prospective epidemiological studies of walking and CVD and all cause mortality. Results: We included eighteen prospective studies in the overall analysis, which incorporated 459,833 participants free from CVD at baseline with 19,249 cases at follow up. From the meta-analysis the pooled hazard ratio of CVD in the highest walking category compared with the lowest was 0.69, (95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.77, P < 0.001), and 0.68 (0.59 to 0.78, P < 0.001) for all cause mortality. These effects were robust among men and women, although there was evidence of publication biases for the associations with CVD risk. Walking pace was a stronger independent predictor of overall risk compared with walking volume (48% vs. 26% risk reductions respectively). There was also evidence of a dose response relationship across the highest, intermediate, and lowest walking categories in relation to the outcome measures. Conclusions: Our results suggest walking is inversely associated with clinical disease endpoints and largely support the current guidelines for physical activity. The mechanisms that mediate this relationship remain largely unknown and should be the focus of future research.

Key Words: cardiovascular risk, epidemiology, meta analysis, physical activity, walking


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