AJM Theme Issue: Cardiology
Clinical research study
Prognostic Significance of Quantitative QRS Duration

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjmed.2005.08.028Get rights and content

Abstract

Background

Although QRS duration is known to be a predictor of mortality in patients with left ventricular dysfunction, our purpose was to evaluate the prognostic power of computer-measured QRS duration in a general medical population.

Methods

Analyses were performed on the first electrocardiogram digitally recorded on 46,933 consecutive patients at the Palo Alto Veterans Affairs Medical Center between 1987 and 2000. Patients with electrocardiograms exhibiting Wolff-Parkinson-White were excluded (n = 44), and those with bundle branch block or electronic pacing were considered separately, leaving 44,280 patients for analysis (mean age 56 ± 15 years; 90% were males). There were 3659 (8.3%) cardiovascular deaths (mean follow-up of 6.0 ± 3.8 years).

Results

A survival plot showed significant separation according to a QRS duration score. After adjustment in the Cox model for age, gender, and heart rate, the QRS duration score was a strong independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality. For every 10-ms increase in QRS duration, there was an 18% increase in cardiovascular risk. The results were similar in patients with an abnormal electrocardiogram, a bundle branch block, and a paced rhythm.

Conclusion

Quantitative QRS duration was a significant and independent predictor of cardiovascular mortality in a general medical population.

Section snippets

Study Design

The study design is a retrospective analysis of all ECGs obtained at the Palo Alto Veterans Affairs Medical Center from March 1987 to 2000. They were digitally recorded and stored in the General Electric cardiology database system (MUSE, General Electric Medical Systems, Milwaukee, Wis). ECGs obtained in an inpatient or emergency department setting were flagged. When a patient had more than one ECG in the database, only the first one was considered. Standardized, computerized ECG criteria as

Results

Thirty-five percent of the ECGs with QRS greater than 135 ms were not recognized as paced rhythms by the computer program and were subsequently reclassified after visual inspection and placed in the correct groups. There were 44,280 patients without BBB or paced rhythms and 18,403 patients in the abnormal ECG subset. The breakdown of patients with BBB and paced rhythms was as follows: 625 with LBBB, 1675 with right bundle branch block (RBBB), and 309 with paced rhythms.

Discussion

This study of a large cohort of general medical patients demonstrates that an increase in QRS duration is associated with an increase in the risk of CV death. Patients were separated into two main groups: those with BBB and paced rhythms and those without these findings. In patients with BBB and paced rhythms, a markedly prolonged QRS duration (>150 ms for BBB and >180 ms for paced rhythms) was found to be associated with a higher CV mortality risk. More important, in patients without BBB or

Conclusion

QRS duration provides a simple method to stratify patients as to their risk of CV death. In a general medical sample without BBB or paced rhythms, those with a QRS duration greater than 130 ms experience nearly twice the risk of CV death compared with those with a QRS duration of 110 ms or less. Similarly in patients with LBBB and RBBB, a QRS duration greater than 150 ms is associated with greater risk of CV death.

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Manuscript submitted on May 27, 2005, and accepted in revised form on August 12, 2005.

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