Table 1

Variance (R²) in injury explained by the rolling daily averages and exponentially weighted moving averages acute:chronic workload ratio (ACWR) models

	Rolling daily averages ACWR model		Exponentially weighted moving averages ACWR model
Workload variable	Preseason	In-season	Preseason	In-season
Total distance (m)	0.21 (−0.24 to 0.66)	0.40 (−0.07 to 0.87)	0.87 (0.72 to 1.00)*	0.78 (0.54 to 1.00)*
Low-speed distance (m)	0.47 (0.02 to 0.92)	0.43 (−0.03 to 0.89)	0.79 (0.56 to 1.00) *	0.75 (0.48 to 1.00)*
Moderate-speed distance (m)	0.32 (−0.16 to 0.80)	0.47 (0.02 to 0.92)	0.82 (0.62 to 1.00)*	0.77 (0.52 to 1.00)*
High-speed distance (m)	0.13 (−0.26 to 0.52)	0.37 (−0.11 to 0.85)	0.77 (0.52 to 1.00)*	0.67 (0.33 to 1.00)
Very high-speed distance (m)	0.23 (−0.23 to 0.69)	0.21 (−0.24 to 0.66)	0.69 (0.37 to 1.00)	0.66 (0.31 to 1.00)
Player load (au)	0.46 (0.01 to 0.91)	0.38 (−0.09 to 0.85)	0.76 (0.50 to 1.00)*	0.72 (0.43 to 1.00)*

Data are variance (R²) with 95% CIs.
*Denotes significantly different (p<0.05) from the rolling daily averages ACWR model.