Table 2

General research agenda for the advancement of the knowledge around the ‘physical activity paradox’

Research agenda itemLimitations of the existing literatureExamples of future research designs
  • The current findings should be replicated using cohort data from various global regions

  • Evidence is restricted to studies from mainly Scandinavian and western European countries

  • Make use of existing cohort data to longitudinally study health effects of occupational physical activity

  • Device-based methods of (occupational and leisure-time) physical activity should be used

  • Occupational and leisure-time physical activity is typically assessed by questionnaires with relatively low validity, prone to random error and bias

  • Rather crude categories for physical activity created for analyses may have led to misclassification

  • Consider various characteristics of physical activity, including nature, frequency, intensity, duration, accumulation, breaks, postures, cardiovascular and biomechanical loading

  • Prevent physical activity misclassification by not using crude categories and by not using arbitrary sample distributions for cut-points (eg, tertiles or quartiles). Existing cohort studies could be re-analysed using such methods

  • Confounding and effect modification should be addressed more extensively

  • The possibility of residual confounding, with differences in the way confounding factors were considered and how these factors were measured

  • Some evidence suggested effect modification, for example, by gender or cardiovascular disease

  • Adjust for relevant confounding factors or conduct stratified analyses, using individual participant data, or re-analysing existing cohort data

  • Males and females should be analysed separately to explore gender differences

  • Alternative research designs should be applied to get a better understanding of the causality of the association

  • Causality of the association of occupational physical activity and health outcomes is not well understood

  • Controlled experimental studies are the preferred design option, but they may be difficult to conduct.

  • Alternative research designs could therefore be considered.10 For example, negative control studies could be used. Alternatively, a natural experiment of an occupational group making a transition from highly physically demanding work to robotised physically inactive work could be analysed