Muscle strain type | Risk factor* | Unadjusted OR (single variable) | Adjusted OR (multivariable)* | 95% CIs (for adj OR) | P value | |
Hamstring | Recent hamstring | 7.96 | 13.10 | 11.52 | 14.89 | <0.001 |
Non-recent history hamstring | 2.34 | 3.49 | 3.15 | 3.86 | <0.001 | |
Recent calf | 1.63 | 1.49 | 1.04 | 2.11 | 0.03 | |
Indigenous player | 1.65 | 1.34 | 1.16 | 1.55 | <0.001 | |
Past ACL | 1.55 | 1.23 | 1.03 | 1.46 | 0.02 | |
Past concussion | 0.91 | 0.77 | 0.63 | 0.94 | 0.01 | |
Substitute rule (2011–2014) | 0.78 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 0.86 | <0.001 | |
Calf | Recent calf | 10.66 | 13.30 | 9.62 | 18.38 | <0.001 |
Non-recent history of calf | 4.54 | 4.38 | 3.56 | 5.39 | <0.001 | |
Recent hamstring | 1.89 | 1.75 | 1.17 | 2.60 | 0.01 | |
Age 24 or more | 2.27 | 1.62 | 1.32 | 1.98 | <0.001 | |
Substitute rule | 1.89 | 1.59 | 1.30 | 1.94 | <0.001 | |
Past knee cartilage | 0.94 | 0.68 | 0.48 | 0.96 | 0.03 | |
Quadriceps | Recent quad | 17.70 | 25.19 | 18.75 | 33.84 | <0.001 |
Past not recent quadriceps | 3.86 | 5.16 | 4.17 | 6.38 | <0.001 | |
Recent hamstring | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 2.71 | 0.01 | |
Local league match | 1.36 | 1.50 | 1.23 | 1.83 | <0.001 | |
Substitute rule | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.92 | 0.01 | |
Groin | Recent groin | 14.72 | 20.62 | 17.02 | 24.99 | <0.001 |
Past not recent groin | 2.37 | 3.46 | 2.97 | 4.03 | <0.001 | |
Local league match | 1.35 | 1.36 | 1.19 | 1.57 | <0.001 | |
Past ankle | 0.90 | 0.82 | 0.69 | 0.98 | 0.03 | |
Substitute rule | 0.80 | 0.78 | 0.65 | 0.93 | 0.01 |
*All risk factors being binary are compared with the opposite condition as the reference group (ie, recent hamstring strain OR is the odds of injury for players who have suffered a recent hamstring strain compared with all players who have not suffered a recent hamstring strain).
ACL, anterior cruciate ligament.