Table 2

Self-Perceived recovery, pain intensity, pain free grip strength, maximum grip strength and elbow disability (PRTEE, PFFQ and modified PFFQ) for exercise with or without physiotherapy or home exercise programme compared with wait-and-see policy

OutcomesNo of studiesComparisonsEffects estimate (95% CI),
p value
Certainty (GRADE)Heterogeneity
Average estimate/assumed risk in exercise (PT± HEP) groupAverage estimate/assumed risk in wait-and-see group
GROC
Short-term follow-up
4120 of 201 (59.7%) participants reported satisfactory recovery102 of 197 (51.8%) participants reported satisfactory recovery RR 1.18
(1.00 to 1.40), p=0.05
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=2.25,
I2=0%, p=0.52
GROC
Mid-term follow-up
3146 of 181 (80.7%) participants reported satisfactory recovery135 of 177 (76.3%) participants reported satisfactory recovery RR 1.06
(0.95 to 1.17), p=0.29
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=0.11,
I2=0%, p=0.94
GROC
Long-term follow-up
3162 of 185 (87.6%) participants reported satisfactory recovery152 of 181 (84%) participants reported satisfactory recovery RR 1.05
(0.97 to 1.13), p=0.26
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=0.70,
I2=0%, p=0.70
Mean change in pain rating
Short-term follow-up
4Mean pain score was 25.8 (range 18.5 to 42.0) in 197 participantsMean pain score was 33.4 (range 27.3 to 63.0) in 193 participants SMD −0.33
(−0.60 to–0.05), p=0.02

Very low§§*¶¶***
χ2=5.44,
I2=45%, p=0.14
Mean change in pain rating
Mid-term follow-up
3Mean pain score was 15.8 (range 13.3 to 21.0) in 176 participantsMean pain score was 18.7 (range 17.4 to 19.8) in 174 participants SMD −0.13‡
(−0.34 to 0.09), p=0.24

Very low§§¶¶***
χ2=1.86,
I2=0%, p=0.39
Mean change in pain rating
Long-term follow-up
3Mean pain score was 7.8 (range 6.6 to 9.0) in 180 participantsMean pain score was 13.3 (range 13.0 to 13.9) in 175 participants SMD −0.30†‡
(−0.51 to –0.09), p=0.005

Very low§§¶¶***
χ2=0.30,
I2=0%, p=0.86
PFGS ratio
Short-term follow-up
3Mean ratio was 67.6 (range 55.0 to 80.8) in 176 participantsMean ratio was 66.7 (range 63.0 to 72.1) in 173 participants MD 1.37§
(−8.10 to 10.84), p=0.78

Very low§§*¶¶***
χ2=5.38,
I2=63%, p=0.07
PFGS ratio
Mid-term follow-up
3Mean ratio was 84.1 (range 76.0 to 96.3) in 175 participantsMean ratio was 79.4 (range 74.0 to 86.5) in 170 participants MD 5.03§
(−0.69 to 10.74), p=0.08

Very low§§*¶¶***
χ2=1.66,
I2=0%, p=0.44
PFGS ratio
Long-term follow-up
3Mean ratio was 94.7 (range 90.0 to 100.9) in 179 participantsMean ratio was 91.3 (range 85.9 to 96.5) in 172 participants MD 3.77§
(−1.01 to 8.55), p=0.12

Very low§§*¶¶***
χ2=1.75,
I2=0%, p=0.42
MGS ratio
Short-term follow-up
2Mean ratio was 90.6 (range 80.8 to 92.9) in 118 participantsMean ratio was 88.5
(range 88.1 to 89.9) in 114 participants
MD 2.72¶
(−3.00 to 8.44), p=0.35
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=0.91,
I2=0%, p=0.34
MGS ratio
Mid-term follow-up
2Mean ratio was 98.8 (range 98.7 to 99.0) in 116 participantsMean ratio was 97.7 (range 96.5 to 99.0) in 112 participants MD 1.32¶
(−3.34 to 5.98), p=0.58
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=0.21,
I2=0%, p=0.65
MGS ratio
Long-term follow-up
2Mean ratio was 102.4 (range 102.0 to 102.8) in 116 participantsMean ratio was 101.9 (range 100.0 to 104.4) in 110 participants MD 0.32¶
(−4.38 to 5.02), p=0.89
⊕⊕
Low§§¶¶
χ2=1.13,
I2=12%, p=0.29
Elbow disability
Short-term follow-up
5Mean score was 28.8 (range 17.1 to 45.2) in 234 participantsMean score was 35.3 (range 18.7 to 53.6) in 233 participants SMD −0.31**
(−0.64 to 0.02), p=0.07

Very low§§*¶¶***
χ2=12.20,
I2=67%, p=0.02
Elbow disability
Mid-term follow-up
3Mean score was 20.4 (range 12.8 to 26.5) in 176 participantsMean score was 23.7 (range 13.5 to 32.8) in 172 participants SMD −0.11††
(−0.32 to 0.10), p=0.30

Very low§§¶¶***
χ2=0.47,
I2=0%, p=0.79
Elbow disability
Long-term follow-up
3Mean score was 11.5 (range 8.9 to 12.9) in 180 participantsMean score was 18.2 (range 12.0 to 24.6) in 173 participants SMD −0.27†††
(−0.47 to –0.06), p=0.01

Very low§§¶¶***
χ2=0.75,
I2=0%, p=0.69
  • Data for one study (44) were requested and provided from authors as means and SD.

  • *Inconsistent results between included studies.

  • †In favour of exercise (PT±HEP) compared with WSP.

  • ‡Pooled weighted baseline pain 56.3—clinically significant difference 16.9 points change on pain scale (0–100); pooled weighted SDs at short-term, mid-term and long-term follow-up were 24.7, 21.9, and 17.5 points, respectively.

  • §Pooled weighted baseline PFGS ratio was 38.3—clinically significant difference 7.7 points change.

  • ¶Pooled weighted baseline MGS ratio was 74.1—clinically significant difference 14.8 points change.

  • **Pooled weighted disability score at baseline was 55.5—clinically significant difference 37% or 20.5 points change; pooled weighted SD at short-term follow-up was 22.6 points.

  • ††Pooled weighted disability score at baseline was 64.0—clinically significant difference 37% or 23.7 points change; pooled weighted SDs at mid-term and long-term follow-up was 23.5 and 22.8 points, respectively.

  • ‡‡Clinically significant differences.

  • §§High risk of bias.

  • ¶¶Indirect comparison in one or more included studies.

  • ***Substantial differences at baseline pain scores among included studies.

  • GRADE, Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation; GROC, Global Rating of Change Scale; HEP, home exercise programme; MD, mean difference; MGS, maximum grip strength; PFGS, Pain Free Grip Strength; PRFQ, Pain Free Function Questionnaire; PRTEE, Patient-rated Tennis Elbow Evaluation; PT, physiotherapy; RR, risk ratio; SMD, standardised mean difference; WSP, wait-and-see policy.