Table 4

Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for various normative cut points of acute Delayed Recall

Probability of a positive test in those with a concussionProbability of a negative test in those without concussionProbability of having a concussion if the test is positiveProbability of not having a concussion if the test is negative
SensitivitySpecificityPPVNPV
Immediate Memory
 20 (Youden)62.14% (53.56–70.20)63.79% (56.18 - 70.93)58.00% (52.17–63.61)67.68% (62.23–72.69)
 17 (Borderline)29.57% (21.26–36.81)91% (86.18-95.09)73.73% (60.60–82.21)61.39% (58.65–64.06)
 16 (Low)22.14% (15.57–29.92)95.40% (91.14-97.99)79.49% (64.79–89.08)60.36% (58.09–62.59)
Delayed Recall
 32nd %ile (Youden)55.71% (47.08–64.10)71.84% (64.53-78.38)61.42% (54.62–67.80)66.84% (62.09–71.28)
 15th %ile (Borderline)41.43% (41.43)82.18% (75.68-87.56)65.17% (56.25–73.13)63.56% (59.88–67.08)
 5th %ile (Low)27.86% (20.62–36.06)91.95% (86.87-95.53)73.58% (61.20–83.11)61.30% (58.62–63.92)
mBESS
 5 (Youden)40.00% (29.81–50.87)86.02% (77.28-92.34)73.47% (61.17–82.96)59.70% (55.12–64.12)
 6 (Borderline)34.44% (24.74–45.20)91.40% (83.75-96.21)79.49% (65.32–88.85)59.03% (55.06–62.89)
 9 (Low)6.67% (2.49%–13.95%)95.70% (89.35-98.82)60.00% (30.45–83.71%)51.45% (49.69–53.19)
Total symptoms
 4 (Youden)87.86% (81.27–92.76)67.24% (59.73-74.15)68.33% (63.36–72.92)87.31% (81.33–91.58)
 3 (Borderline)90.00% (83.79–94.42)56.90% (49.19-64.37)62.69% (58.40–66.78)87.61% (80.89–92.20)
 6 (Low)72.86% (64.70–80.02)76.44% (69.42-82.53)71.33% (65.14–76.81)77.78% (72.49–82.29)
Symptom severity
 8 (Youden)81.43% (73.98–87.50)73.56% (66.36-79.95)71.25% (65.64–76.27)83.12% (77.48–87.57)
 4 (Borderline)92.14% (86.38–96.01)56.90%(49.19-64.37)63.25% (59.02–67.26)90.00% (83.42–94.15)
 7 (Low)82.86 % (75.58–88.70)69.54% (62.12-76.28)68.64% (63.33–73.50)83.45% (77.57–88.03)
  • Younden cutpoints derived using Youden’s Index. Borderline and low performance cut-points based on NHL normative data for the 15th and 5th percentile, respectively.

  • NPV, Negative Predictive Value; PPV, Positive Predictive Value.