Table 1

Long term trends in match injury in rugby (2002/2003 to 2018/2019 seasons)

MeasureBetaP valueFive season changeTrend
Incidence−0.1 (−1.4–1.3)0.93−0.28/1000 hours
Mean severity1.2 (0.9–1.4)<0.01*5.8 days
Median severity0.4 (0.3–0.6)<0.01*2.1 days
Burden104.3 (58.6–150.0)<0.01*521 days/1000 hours
2–7 days incidence−1.3 (−2.1–-0.5)0.01*−6.4/1000 hours
7–28 days incidence0.3 (−0.1–0.7)0.171.5/1000 hours
29–84 days incidence0.5 (0.2–0.9)0.01*2.7/1000 hours
84+ days incidence0.5 (0.3–0.7)<0.01*2.4/1000 hours
Injury proportion−0.5 (−1.3–0.3)0.24−2.35%
Concussion incidence1.2 (0.8–1.6)<0.01*6.0/1000 hours
Concussion mean severity0.5 (0.1–1.0)0.04*2.5 days
Concussion median severity0.1 (0.03–0.2)0.02*0.7 days
Concussion burden23.8 (10.9–33.9)0.04*119 days/1000 hours
Incidence (excl. concussion)−1.25 (−2.50–0.01)0.06−6.3/1000 hours
Severity (excl. concussion)1.74 (1.40–2.08)<0.01*8.7 days
  • Beta values represent yearly change in respective values. Incidence (injuries per 1000 hours), severity (days absence per injury), burden (days absence per 1000 hours), proportion (percentage of players with at least one injury). ↑ Rising, → Stable, ↓ Falling.

  • *P<0.05.