PA trajectory groups | No events/total | Model 1 | P value | Model 2 | P value | Model 3 | P value | Model 4 | P value |
Low | 35/1332 | Reference | 1.0 | Reference | 1.0 | Reference | 1.0 | Reference | 1.0 |
Moderate | 23/919 | 0.95 (0.56–1.61) | 0.847 | 1.07 (0.61–1.89) | 0.806 | 0.93 (0.50–1.74) | 0.820 | 1.18 (0.61–2.27) | 0.623 |
High | 7/246 | 1.07 (0.48–2.41) | 0.866 | 1.01 (0.44–2.31) | 0.989 | 0.72 (0.25–2.08) | 0.546 | 1.24 (0.41–3.79) | 0.705 |
Model 1: Unadjusted.
Model 2: Adjusted for age, alcohol consumption, antihypertensive medication use, body mass index, diabetes, education level, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, race, serum creatinine, systolic blood pressure and smoking status.
Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 covariates plus PA score at year 0.
Model 4: Adjusted for model 2 covariates plus PA score at year 15.
CVD, cardiovascular disease; PA, physical activity.