Table 3

CRF and cigarette smoking at conscription and future risk of cancer in individuals who underwent conscription in 1968–1970 when information on smoking habits was collected (n=21 307)

Cancer siteNo of casesCRF (ref=low)Smoking (ref=no smoking)
Moderate/high1–10 cigarettes/day>10 cigarettes/day
HR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)HR (95% CI)
Any cancer43711.05 (0.99 to 1.11)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.06 (1.00 to 1.13)1.01 (0.94 to 1.08)1.11 (1.02 to 1.19)
Malignant skin12231.22 (1.08 to 1.37)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.17 (1.03 to 1.31)0.80 (0.70 to 0.91)0.70 (0.60 to 0.81)
Bronchi and lung2450.75 (0.58 to 0.97)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.92 (0.71 to 1.18)2.50 (1.67 to 3.74)5.68 (3.90 to 8.26)
Head and neck1930.72 (0.54 to 0.96)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.78 (0.59 to 1.04)1.53 (1.07 to 2.20)2.00 (1.39 to 2.89)
Gastrointestinal cancers
 Oesophagus830.65 (0.42 to 1.01)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.76 (0.49 to 1.18)2.62 (1.41 to 4.87)3.82 (2.07 to 7.06)
 Stomach710.71 (0.44 to 1.13)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.77 (0.48 to 1.24)2.11 (1.17 to 3.81)1.94 (1.03 to 3.67)
 Pancreas1190.81 (0.56 to 1.17)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.86 (0.60 to 1.25)1.44 (0.91 to 2.26)1.65 (1.03 to 2.62)
 Liver, bile ducts and gallbladder970.79 (0.53 to 1.18)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.87 (0.58 to 1.30)1.75 (1.03 to 2.95)2.12 (1.25 to 3.59)
 Colon2130.98 (0.74 to 1.29)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 0.98 (0.74 to 1.29)1.05 (0.77 to 1.44)0.96 (0.67 to 1.37)
 Rectum1561.40 (1.00 to 1.95)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.42 (1.02 to 2.00)1.15 (0.80 to 1.67)1.16 (0.77 to 1.74)
Urological cancers
 Prostate15201.10 (0.99 to 1.22)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.09 (0.98 to 1.21)0.92 (0.82 to 1.03)0.92 (0.81 to 1.05)
 Kidney1151.09 (0.75 to 1.60)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.14 (0.78 to 1.68)0.97 (0.61 to 1.54)1.48 (0.95 to 2.32)
 Bladder2171.16 (0.88 to 1.53)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.29 (0.98 to 1.71)1.81 (1.28 to 2.55)2.45 (1.73 to 3.47)
Non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma1331.09 (0.77 to 1.55)NANA
Adjusted for smoking 1.16 (0.81 to 1.66)1.59 (1.05 to 2.40)1.62 (1.03 to 2.52)
  • Adjusted for conscription year, age, and site and BMI at conscription. Where indicated also adjusted for smoking. Models did not converge for central nervous system, thyroid gland, leukaemia, myeloma, and Hodgkin’s lymphoma due to few events.

  • CRF, cardiorespiratory fitness.