Table 2

Diagnostic characteristics of cut-offs for aerobic fitness according to sex and age groups

9-Year-old children15-Year-old children
Cut-offs10thOptimal25th50th10thOptimal25th50th
Sensitivity (%)
 Girls22.4 (16.6–29.1)49.7 (42.3–57.2)54.6 (47.1–62.0)74.9 (67.9–81.0)19.3 (13.2–26.7)29.7 (22.4–37.8)32.4 (24.9–40.7)57.9 (49.5–66.1)
 Boys28.8 (22.4–35.9)55.4 (47.9–62.7)53.3 (45.8–60.6)75.5 (68.7–81.6)31.0 (23.5–39.3)55.6 (47.1–64.0)57.0 (48.5–65.3)73.9 (65.9–80.9)
Specificity (%)
 Girls92.3 (90.5–93.9)85.9 (83.6–88.0)80.5 (77.9–82.9)54.6 (51.5–57.7)91.5 (89.5–93.2)79.9 (77.2–82.5)76.2 (73.2–78.9)51.3 (48.0–54.6)
 Boys93.3 (91.6–94.8)79.3 (76.7–81.8)80.1 (77.5–82.5)54.6 (51.5–57.7)93.4 (91.6–94.9)86.4 (84.0–88.6)80.0 (77.3–82.6)53.7 (50.4–57.0)
PPV (%)
 Girls34.7 (26.2–44.1)39.2 (32.9–45.8)33.9 (28.5–39.6)23.2 (19.9–26.8)26.7 (18.5–36.2)19.1 (14.2–24.9)17.9 (13.4–23.0)16.0 (13.0–19.4)
 Boys43.4 (34.5–52.7)32.3 (27.2–37.7)32.2 (27.0–37.8)22.8 (19.5–26.4)42.3 (32.7–52.4)41.5 (34.6–48.5)30.9 (25.4–36.9)20.0 (16.7–23.7)
NPV (%)
 Girls86.6 (84.4–88.6)90.3 (88.2–92.1)90.6 (88.5–92.5)92.2 (89.8–94.2)87.6 (85.4–89.7)87.7 (85.2–89.8)87.6 (85.1–89.8)88.4 (85.4–91.0)
 Boys88.1 (86.0–89.9)90.2 (88.9–92.7)90.6 (88.5–92.4)92.6 (90.3–94.6)89.6 (87.5–91.5)90.5 (88.3–92.4)92.2 (90.2–94.0)92.9 (90.4–95.0)
  • 10th, 25th and 50th percentiles for fitness.

  • Negative-predictive value (NPV), probability of a negative risk status given a negative test result; positive-predictive value (PPV), probability of a positive risk status given a positive test result; sensitivity, proportion of diseased individuals correctly identified (true-positive rate); specificity, proportion of healthy individuals correctly identified (1 – false-positive rate).