Table 1

Summary of studies examining the association between physical activity or fitness and all cause mortality in women

Author and year, country study designNo of womenAge (years)Duration (years)*No of deathsAssessment of physical activityMain results‡Factors adjusted forOther comments
*Maximum duration of the study unless otherwise specified; †mean (SD); ‡values in parentheses are 95% confidence intervals.
AMI, Acute myocardial infarction; BMI, body mass index; CHD, coronary heart diseases; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases; CVD, cardiovascular diseases; DM, diabetes mellitus; ECG, electrocardiogram; LTPA, leisure time physical activity; LVH, left ventricular hypertrophy; MET, metabolic equivalent; MI, myocardial infarction; OPA, occupational physical activity; RR, relative risk.
Andersen 2000, Denmark262 prospective cohort studies combined (Copenhagen City Heart Study; Glostrup Population Studies)1337520–9314 (5)†28812 questions on LTPA and OPA in the previous year, with 4 response options for each question, assessed by questionnaire.v inactive LTPA Light: RR = 0.65, p<0.001 Moderate: RR = 0.59, p<0.001 Vigorous: RR = 0.64, p = 0.20Age, educational level, blood pressure, lipid levels, BMI, and smokingAdjustment for chronic disease did not change findings.
Among subjects with light, moderate, and heavy LTPA, Sports participation: RR = 0.47 (0.34 to 0.66)Inverse association observed for women aged 20–44, 45–64, and ≥65.
v sitting OPA More active OPA: RR = 0.86 (0.74 to 0.99)Age and educational level
Hirvensalo 2000, Finland13Prospective cohort study (Evergreen Project at Jyvaskyla)71865–848225Assessed by interview, using a question with 6 response options, plus questions about participation in a list of sports. Women were then classified as sedentary or active.v mobile-active Mobile-sedentary: RR = 0.87 (0.55 to 1.40) Impaired-active: RR = 1.72 (1.10 to 2.70) Impaired-sedentary: RR = 2.63 (1.82 to 3.81)Age, marital status, education, presence of asthma, diabetes, neurological diseases, stroke, mental diseases, CVD, musculoskeletal diseases, smoking, and past physical activity
Mobility was defined as being able to walk 2 km and climb one flight of stairs without difficulty.
Stessman 2000, Israel24Prospective cohort study (Jerusalem 70 year Longitudinal Study)207706241 question on LTPA with 4 response options, assessed by interview.v <4 hours walking/week Walks about 4 hours/week: RR = 0.28 (0.05 to 1.47) Sports activity ≥2μ/week: RR = 0.91 (0.26 to 3.19) Walks ≥1 hour/day: RR = 0.17 (0.02 to 1.53) p for trend = 0.17Smoking, economic hardship, and pre-existing medical conditions
Lee 2000, US30Prospective cohort study (US Longitudinal Study of Aging)7527 (both sexes)≥7072870 (both sexes)“Compared to other people your age, would you say you are physically more active, less active, or about as active?”v a lot more active than peers More active: RR = 0.99 About as active: RR = 1.18, p<0.1 Less active: RR = 1.40, p<0.01Sociodemographic characteristics, functioning, diseases, use of services, and self assessed general and mental health
“Do you feel that you get as much exercise as you need, or less than you need?”v getting as much exercise as needed Less than needed: RR = 1.05
Haapanen 2000, Northeastern Finland14Prospective cohort study112235–631687Energy expenditure index assessed by questionnaire with 23 questions on LTPA, household chores and commuting.v >1500 kcal/week 800.1–1500 kcal/week: RR = 0.59 (0.30 to 1.18) 0–800 kcal/week: RR = 1.27 (0.69 to 2.34)Age, employment status, marital status, perceived health status, smoking, and alcohol consumption
Single-item self assessment of LTPA.v vigorous activity ≥1/week No or light intensity: RR = 1.61 (0.89 to 2.92)
Single-item self assessment of physical fitness compared with age-mates.v better physical fitness Similar: RR = 0.82 (0.41 to 1.65) Worse: RR = 1.71 (0.72 to 4.05)
Single-item self assessment of 2 km walking ability.v no difficulties walking 2 km At least some difficulties: RR = 1.45 (0.78 to 2.70)
Single-item self assessment of ability to climb several flights of stairs.v no difficulties climbing stairs At least some difficulties: RR = 2.39 (1.25 to 4.60)
Dorn 1999, USA41Prospective cohort study (Buffalo Blood Pressure Study)76315–9529276LTPA and OPA assessed in interview by 28 questions on time spent sleeping, sitting, driving, standing, caring or lifting, walking, gardening, exercising and playing sports.For every 1 kcal/kg/hour of physical activity, <60 years: RR = 1.05 (0.59 to 1.87) ≥60 years: RR = 1.04 (0.62 to 1.74)Age, education, smoking, and mean arterial blood pressure
Sherman 1999, USA9Prospective cohort study (Framingham Heart Study)141030–6216522Time spent sleeping, resting, or engaging in light, moderate, or heavy physical activity assessed by interview 11–27 years previously and at baseline.11–27 years previously, per MET-hour/day RR = 1.01 (0.96 to 1.07)Age, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, smoking, relative weight, glucose intolerance, LVH, COPD, and cancer
At baseline, per MET-hour/day RR = 0.84 (0.76 to 0.93)
Villeneuve 1998, Canada22Prospective cohort study (Canada Fitness Survey)819620–697502Average daily energy expenditure in the past 12 months on LTPA estimated from modified Minnesota LTPA questionnaire based on a subset of the 19 most frequently reported activities, in KKD (kcal/kg body weight/day).v lowest KKD (<0.5) in LTPA 0.5 to <1.5 KKD: RR = 0.94 (0.69 to 1.30) 1.5 to <3.0 KKD: RR = 0.92 (0.64 to 1.34) ≥3.0 KKD: RR = 0.71 (0.45 to 1.11)Age and smoking
v lowest KKD (<0.5) in nonvigorous LTPA among subjects without vigorous (≤6METs) LTPA 0.5 to <1.5 KKD: RR = 0.97 (0.69 to 1.36) 1.5 to <3.0 KKD: RR = 0.92 (0.64 to 1.34) ≥3.0 KKD: RR = 0.72 (0.43 to 1.21)
Participation in vigorous LTPA RR = 0.71 (0.48 to 1.05)
3 levels of fitness based on Canadian Aerobic Fitness Test.v recommended fitness level (both sexes) Minimum: RR = 1.02 (0.69 to 1.51) Undesirable: RR = 1.52 (0.72 to 3.18)Age, sex, and smokingSex-specific results not presented for fitness.
Weller 1998, Canada23Prospective cohort study (Canada Fitness Survey)6620≥307449Average daily energy expenditure on all activities estimated from modified Minnesota LTPA questionnaire in KKD (kcal/kg body weight/day).v lowest KKD quartile (Q1) of leisure activity Q2: RR = 0.91 (0.66 to 1.25) Q3: RR = 0.94 (0.72 to 1.23) Q4: RR = 0.89 (0.67 to 1.17)AgeAdjustment for marital status, educational level, income, self reported health status, and smoking did not change findings
v lowest KKD quartile (Q1) of non-leisure activity Q2: RR = 0.66 (0.50 to 0.87) Q3: RR = 0.68 (0.51 to 0.89) Q4: RR = 0.71 (0.50 to 0.87)
Kujala 1998, Finland15Prospective cohort study (Finish Twin Study)797725–64184243 levels of LTPA plus calculated MET index assessed by questionnaire on type of activity, frequency, duration, and intensity.v sedentary (both sexes) Occasional exercisers: RR = 0.80 (0.69 to 0.91) Conditioning exercisers: RR = 0.76 (0.59 to 0.98)Age, sex, smoking, occupation, and alcohol useWomen were free of chronic diseases
among same sex twin pairs discordant for death,v sedentary (among 148 female twin pairs) Occasional exercisers: RR = 0.66 Conditioning exercisers: RR = 0.24Age, smoking, occupation, and alcohol use.
v lowest MET quintile (Q1) (among 434 twin pairs of both sexes) Q2: RR = 0.85 Q3: RR = 0.72 Q4: RR = 0.68 Q5: RR = 0.60 p for trend = 0.04Age, sex, smoking, occupation, and alcohol use
Bath 1998, UK31Prospective cohort study (Nottingham Longitudinal Study of Activity and Ageing)1042 (both sexes)≥6512369 (women)Interview asking about outdoor productive activities, indoor productive activities, walking, shopping, leisure activities, strength activities, and flexibility activities.v high activity Intermediate: RR = 1.22 (0.91 to 1.63) Low: RR = 1.73 (1.28 to 2.33)Age, health status, smoking, and weight
Roger 1998, USA25(Olmsted county, Minnesota) Retrospective cohort study74151 (15)†6 (2)†46Physical fitness determined by maximal exercise test on treadmill, in METs.For each 1 MET increase workload RR = 0.75 (0.65 to 0.88)Age and comorbiditySimilar findings were seen when excluding first 3 years of follow up.
Kushi 1997, USA32Prospective cohort study (Iowa Women's Healthy Study)4041755–6972260Questionnaire with 2 questions on frequency of moderate and vigorous LTPA.v rarely/never participating in moderate activity 1/week–few/month: RR = 0.71 (0.63 to 0.79) 2–4/week: RR = 0.63 (0.56 to 0.71) >4/week: RR = 0.59 (0.51 to 0.67) p for trend <0.001Age, reproductive factors, alcohol use, total energy intake, smoking, estrogen use, BMI at baseline and 18 years, waist/hip ratio, high blood pressure, diabetes, education level, marital status, and family history of cancerSimilar findings observed when excluding women with CVD or cancer and first 3 years of follow-up. Subjects were post-menopausal women only.
v rarely/never participating in vigorous activity 1/week-few/month: RR = 0.83 (0.69 to 0.99) 2–4 /week: RR = 0.74 (0.59 to 0.93) >4 /week: RR = 0.62 (0.42 to 0.90) p for trend = 0.009
3-level LTPA index based on combined frequency and intensity.v low activity index Medium: RR = 0.77 (0.69 to 0.86) High: RR = 0.68 (0.60 to 0.77) p for trend <0.001
Morgan 1997, UK33Prospective cohort study (Nottingham Longitudinal Study of Activity and Ageing)635≥6510321Interview, asking about outdoor productive activities, indoor productive activities, walking, shopping, leisure activities, strength activities, and flexibility activities.v high activity Intermediate: RR = 1.53 (1.12 to 2.09) Low: RR = 2.07 (1.53 to 2.79)Age, health status, and smoking
Fraser 1997, USA37Prospective cohort study (Adventist Health Study)1083≥259–11802 questions on LTPA (participation in various vigorous activities ≥15 min, ≥3μ/week) and OPA (5 options).v no exercise Medium: RR = 0.6 (0.3 to 1.8) Vigorous: RR = 0.5 (0.3 to 1.0)Age, adventist, smoking, diabetes, high blood pressure, and BMI.Subjects were black women only. Exclusion of subjects with chronic diseases yielded non-significant RRs of 1.00, 1.08, and 0.96, respectively, for both sexes combined.
Miilunpalo 1997, Northeastern Finland16Prospective cohort study150035–6311244 (both sexes)Questionnaire assessing perceived physical fitness compared with similarly aged mates; 3 point scale.v better Average: RR = 2.21 (0.85 to 5.74) Worse: RR = 3.78 (1.39 to 10.28)Age, social status, and number of physician contacts
Schroll 1997, Denmark34Prospective cohort study (Nordic Research on Ageing Study)21075541Assessed by interview and categorised into sedentary (hardly any physical activity or mostly sitting with occasional light activity) or physically active (light physical exercise around 2–4 hours/week or more).v physically active Sedentary: RR = 1.31 <0.01None
Kampert 1996, USA5Prospective cohort study (Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study)667420–88mean, 866Physical activity assessed by questionnaire on walking, running, and other sports/leisure activities over the past months.v no reported activities 1–10 min/week: RR = 0.68 (0.39 to 1.17) 11–20 min/week: RR = 0.39 (0.09 to 1.65) ≥21 min/week: RR = 1.14 (0.27 to 4.80) p for trend = 0.22Age, examination year, smoking, chronic illness, and ECG abnormalitiesFitness data not shown because identical with those of Blair et al6.
Kaplan 1996, USA38Prospective cohort study (Alameda County Study)329916–9428587LTPA index assessed using answers to three questions on physical exercise, sports participation, and walking/swimming.v lowest LTPA tertile (T1) T2: RR = 0.42 T3: RR = 0.22NoneAdjustment for age, sex, ethnicity, education, health conditions, and social isolation still yielded significant inverse associations.
LaCroix 1996, USA42(Seattle, Washington) Prospective cohort study1030≥65465LTPA in the previous 2 weeks assessed from Modified Minnesota LTPA questionnaire.v walked <1 hour/week 1–4 hours/week: RR = 0.83 (0.53 to 1.29) >4 hours/week: RR = 0.91 (0.58 to 1.42)Age, sex, functional status, smoking status, BMI, chronic disease score, self rated health, and alcohol consumptionWomen were without severe disability or heart disease.
Sex-specific results were not presented for multivariate analysis. In crude analysis, p for trend in women, <0.01.
Lissner 1996, Sweden27(Gothenburg) Prospective cohort study140538–60204242 questions on LTPA and OPA in the previous year, with 4 response options for each question, assessed by questionnaire in 1968–69 and 1974–75.v low LTPA in 1968–69 Medium: RR = 0.56 (0.39 to 0.82) High: RR = 0.45 (0.24 to 0.86)AgeWomen were free of CVD, cancer, and diabetes.
v low OPA in 1968–69 Medium: RR = 0.28 (0.17 to 0.46) High: RR = 0.24 (0.14 to 0.43)Findings little changed with additional adjustment for smoking, alcohol use, education, BMI, waist/hip ratio, diet, blood pressure, blood lipids, and peak expiratory flow.
Compared with no change in LTPA between 1968–1969 and 1974–1975 Increased: RR = 1.11 (0.67 to 1.86) Decreased: RR = 2.07 (1.39 to 3.09)
Mensink 1996, Germany18Prospective cohort study (German Cardiovascular Prevention Study)121240–69mean, 6 range, 5–866Frequency and time spent on 18 leisure activities during the previous 3 months. Each activity assigned a MET score and classified as total activity, LTPA, conditioning activity (excluding walking, cycling, gardening) and sports activity.v low total activity Moderate: RR = 1.24 (0.60 to 2.58) High: RR = 1.29 (0.58 to 2.85)Age, systolic blood pressure, total serum cholesterol, smoking, and BMI
v low LTPA Moderate: RR = 0.94 (0.51 to 1.75) High: RR = 0.81 (0.44 to 1.49)
v low conditioning activity Moderate: RR = 0.38 (0.13 to 1.06) High: RR = 0.80 (0.42 to 1.54)
v no sports activity <1 hour/week: RR = 0.38 (0.12 to 1.23) <1–2 hours/week: RR = 0.52 (0.23 to 1.17) >2 hours/week: RR = 0.28 (0.07 to 1.17)
Blair 1996, USA6Prospective cohort study (Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study)708020–88mean, 8 range, 0.1–1989Physical fitness determined by maximal exercise test on treadmill. Subjects classified as low (least fit 20%), moderate (next 40%) and high (most fit 40%) fit.v high fit Low fit: RR = 2.10 (1.36 to 3.26)Age, examination year, smoking, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, parental history of CHD, BMI, fasting glucose, abnormal ECG, and chronic illnessMost women were apparently healthy at baseline. 350 had abnormal ECG, and 958 reported a history of chronic illnesses (MI, stroke, hypertension, DM, or cancer).
Ruigómez 1995, Spain39Prospective cohort study (Health Interview Survey of Barcelona)749≥655109Face to face home interviews. Total physical activity estimated from single question and categorised as active (“doing a job that requires a great deal of physical effort” or “walking frequently during the day”) or sedentary (“expending most part of their day-time standing up but not walking” or “sitting most of the day”).v active Sedentary: RR = 1.30 (0.77 to 2.18)Age, sex, education, and perceived health status
Sherman 1994, USA11Prospective cohort study (Framingham Heart Study)140450–7416319Time spent sleeping, resting, or engaging in light, moderate, or heavy physical activity assessed by interview. Composite score (physical activity index: PAI) computed as sum of hours per activity level μ weight factor based on oxygen consumption.v lowest activity quartile (Q1) Q2: RR = 0.93 (0.70 to 1.23) Q3: RR = 0.65 (0.47 to 0.90) Q4: RR = 0.68 (0.49 to 0.94)Age, systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking, weight, presence or absence of glucose tolerance, LVH, COPD, and cancerSubjects were free of CVD at the baseline.
Excluding first 6 years of follow up yielded similar results.
Sherman 1994, USA10Prospective cohort study (Framingham Heart Study)189≥7510126Time spent sleeping, resting, or engaging in light, moderate, or heavy physical activity assessed by interview. Composite score (physical activity index: PAI) computed as sum of hours per activity level μ weight factor based on oxygen consumption.v lowest activity quartile (Q1) Q2: RR = 0.70 (0.38 to 1.29) Q3: RR = 0.26 (0.12 to 0.55) Q4: RR = 0.39 (0.20 to 0.77)Age, systolic blood pressure, serum cholesterol, smoking, weight, presence or absence of glucose tolerance, LVH, COPD, and cancerExcluding first 6 years of follow up yielded similar results.
Subjects were free of CVD at the baseline.
Davis 1994, USA29Prospective cohort study (NHANES I Follow-up Study)319745–74106732 questions with 3 response options eachv very active Inactive (1) Non-recreational (2) Recreational 45–54 years RR: 1.3 (0.5 to 3.3) 0.9 (0.4 to 2.4) 55–64 years RR: 1.7 (0.8 to 3.7) 2.2 (0.8 to 6.6) 65–74 years RR: 2.1 (1.5 to 2.8) 1.0 (0.7 to 1.4)Smoking, alcohol, BMI, age, race, education, income, employment status, living arrangement, diet quality, and chronic conditions
(1) non-recreational activity: “In your usual day, aside from recreation are you physically very active, moderately active, or quite inactive?”
(2) recreational activity: “Do you get much, moderate, or little or no exercise in the things you do for recreation?”Moderately active 45–54 years RR: 1.2 (0.6 to 2.2) 0.8 (0.3 to 2.3) 55–64 years RR: 1.3 (0.7 to 2.1) 1.7 (0.6 to 5.2) 65–74 years RR: 1.2 (1.0 to 1.6) 0.8 (0.5 to 1.1)
Blair 1993, USA7Prospective cohort study (Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study)3120mean, 40.9mean, 843LTPA assessed by questionnaire asking about 18 common activities over the past months.v high LTPA Moderate: RR = 0.75 (0.41 to 1.39) Low: RR = 0.95 (0.54 to 1.70) p for trend = 0.31AgeFitness data not shown because identical with those of Blair et al.8
Subjects with no activities were classified as inactive, those who walked, jogged, or ran as highly active, and all others as moderately active.
Weyerer 1993, Germany19Prospective cohort study (Upper Bavarian Field Study)844≥5541LTPA assessed by interview with single question, “How often do you currently exercise for sports (never, occasionally, or regularly)?”v regular LTPA Occasional: RR = 1.14 (0.24 to 5.30) Never: RR = 1.51 (0.41 to 5.54)Age, social class, physical and psychiatric disorders
Rehm 1993, Germany20Prospective cohort study (Upper Bavarian Field Study)778≥1513118LTPA assessed by interview with single question, “How often do you currently exercise for sports (never, occasionally, or regularly)?”v never Occasional: RR = 0.69 (0.33 to 1.46) Regular: RR = 0.50 (0.20 to 1.25)Age and physicians' judgment of the severity of somatic disorders within the last yearDifferences in sample size from those of Weyerer et al (1993)19 due to available information on vital status.
C-Claude 1993, Germany21Prospective cohort study (German Vegetarian Study)1046≥1011225 (both sexes)Total physical activity classified as low, medium and high by self evaluation.v low physical activity Medium or high: RR = 0.43 (0.22 to 0.82)Age, adherence to vegetarianism, duration of vegetarianism, and BMISimilar decreases for CHD, but not cancer mortality.
Rakowski 1992, USA35Prospective cohort study (US Longitudinal Study of Aging)3679≥705555LTPA assessed by responses to questions:v walk ≥4 days/week 2–3 days/week: RR = 1.72 (1.01 to 2.05) 1 day/week: RR = 1.48 (0.70 to 3.10) <1 day/never: RR = 2.49 (1.64 to 3.80)Age, sex, race, education, living arrangement, self rated health, social involvement, heart condition, hypertension, stroke, diabetes, functional status, and BMI
“How often do you walk a mile or more at a time, without resting?” and “Do you follow a regular routine of physical exercise?”v have exercise routine No: RR = 1.32 (1.03 to 1.69)
Blair 1989, USA8Prospective cohort study (Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study)3120mean, 40.9mean, 843Physical fitness determined by maximal exercise test on treadmill; women categorszed into quintiles.v highest fitness quintile (Q5) Q4: RR = 1.07 (0.55 to 2.23) Q3: RR = 1.07 (0.55 to 2.09) Q2: RR = 1.45 (0.80 to 2.62) Q1: RR = 1.98 (1.13 to 3.47) p for trend <0.05Age, serum cholesterol level, systolic blood pressure, BMI, smoking, parental death from CHD, and serum glucose levelWomen were free of chronic diseases and abnormal ECG at baseline.
Garfinkel 1988, USA40Prospective cohort study (Cancer Prevention Study II)496284mean, 5822865“How much exercise do you get (work or play)?” with 4 response options.Exercise inversely related to mortality in both smokers and nonsmokers; exact results not provided.Age, relative weight
Lapidus 1986, Sweden35(Gothenburg) Prospective cohort study142438–6012752 questions on LTPA and OPA in the previous year, with 4 response options for each question, assessed by questionnaire.v 3 highest categories of LTPA or OPA Least active category of LTPA: RR = 1.9 (1.1 to 3.2) Least active category of OPA: RR = 5.2 (2.8 to 9.7)AgeWomen were free of MI.
Salonen 1982, Eastern Finland17Prospective cohort study378435–597752 questions on LTPA and OPA in the previous year, with 4 response options for each question, assessed by questionnaire.v 2 highest levels of LTPA or OPA 2 lowest levels of LTPA: RR = 1.6 (1.0 to 2.3) 2 lowest levels of OPA: RR = 2.2 (1.5 to 3.3)Age, serum cholesterol, diastolic blood pressure, BMI, and smokingWomen were free of AMI, angina, and stroke in the preceding 12 months.
90% confidence intervals provided.
Wingard 1982, USA36Prospective cohort study (Alameda County Study)249630–699160Based on the frequency (often, sometimes, never) and presumed strenuousness of leisure time participation in active sports, swimming or long walks, physical exercises, gardening and/or hunting and classified as active or inactive.v active Inactive: RR = 1.7 p = 0.01Age, race, socioeconomic status, occupation, use of health services, weight status, sleeping patterns, and church or group membership.
Kannel 1979, USA12Prospective cohort study (Framingham Heart Study)231135–6914269Time spent sleeping, resting, or engaging in light, moderate, or heavy physical activity assessed by interview. Composite score (physical activity index: PAI) computed as sum of hours per activity level μ weight factor based on oxygen consumption.p>0.05 for association of PAI with mortality.Age, systolic blood pressure, smoking, serum cholesterol, glucose intolerance, and LVH.