ROC area (95% CI) for cardiovascular, non-cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in different models comparing predictive value of physical activity versus smoking, adjusted*
| Model | CV mortality (n=310) | Non-CV mortality (n=1064) | All-cause mortality (N=1374) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AF | 0.725 (0.684 to 0.755) | 0.650 (0.631 to 0.670) | 0.699 (0.682 to 0.717) |
| AF except smoking | 0.720 (0.689 to 0.750) | 0.636 (0.616 to 0.656) | 0.686 (0.668 to 0.717) |
| AF except activity intensity | 0.720 (0.690 to 0.749) | 0.650 (0.631 to 0.670) | 0.699 (0.682 to 0.717) |
| AF except Gothenburg | 0.723 (0.692 to 0.753) | 0.636 (0.616 to 0.656) | 0.689 (0.671 to 0.707) |
| AF except Gothenburg and activity intensity | 0.715 (0.686 to 0.745) | 0.628 (0.608 to 0.647) | 0.680 (0.662 to 0.697) |
| AF except smoking, Gothenburg and activity intensity | 0.698 (0.667 to 0.728) | 0.600 (0.580 to 0.620) | 0.654 (0.631 to 0.673) |
*Adjustment factors: age, length of education, diabetes, previous myocardial infarction, previous stroke; exposure factors: smoking (current, previous, never), combined activity of light and hard intensity (9 categories).
AF, all factors; CV, cardiovascular; ROC, receiver operating characteristics.